On Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will play the Pittsburgh Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model projects a victory for the Steelers — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Falcons put up 334.3 yards per game on offense last season (17th in NFL), and they surrendered 321.1 yards per game (11th) on the defensive side of the ball. The Steelers averaged 17.9 points per game on offense last year (27th in NFL), and they surrendered 19.1 points per game (sixth) on the defensive side of the ball.

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 65.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Atlanta covered five times in 17 games with a spread last season.
• The Falcons were favored by 3.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• Last season, seven Atlanta games went over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 41.5 points, 1.4 more than the average point total for Falcons games a year ago.

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Steelers Betting Info

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Steelers have a 39.2% chance to win.
• Pittsburgh went 10-7-0 ATS last year.
• The Steelers had an ATS record of 3-0 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs last year.
• A total of six of Pittsburgh games last season hit the over.
• Steelers games averaged 38.8 total points last season, 2.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

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