A victory by the New Orleans Saints over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Falcons are putting up 16.3 points per game on offense (26th in NFL), and they rank 13th defensively with 20.3 points allowed per game. The Saints are accumulating 343.3 total yards per contest on offense this season (ninth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 335.3 total yards per contest (21st-ranked).

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 60.8%.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
• Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
• The average total for Falcons games this season has been 45.2, 4.2 points higher than the total for this game.

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Saints Betting Info

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 43.5% chance to win.
• New Orleans has won two games against the spread this season.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• New Orleans games have gone over the point total twice this season.
• The average total for Saints games (postseason included) is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

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