Best Bets, Odds for the Falcons vs. Buccaneers Thursday Night Football Game – Week 5

Published 11:37 pm Tuesday, October 1, 2024

The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) square off against a familiar opponent (and best bets are available) when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) on Thursday, October 3, 2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in an NFC South clash.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Matchup Info

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Best Moneyline Bet

  • The model favors the Falcons by 0.7 points, just 0.8 fewer than the 1.5-point spread set by BetMGM.
  • The Falcons have a 55.6% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Falcons have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games.
  • Atlanta has played as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
  • The Buccaneers have won both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +105 or more once this season and won that game.

Think you know who will win the game? Sign up at BetMGM and place your bet today.

Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS: Buccaneers (+1.5)
  • The Falcons have covered the spread one time in four games with a set spread.
  • Atlanta has not covered a spread when they are at least 1.5-point favorites (0-2).
  • The Buccaneers have put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games it has played as 1.5-point underdogs or more, Tampa Bay has a perfect ATS record of 1-0.

Want to bet on this game’s spread? Head to BetMGM and place your wager today.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (43.5)
  • The two teams average a combined 0.4 less points per game, 43.1 (including the playoffs), than this matchup’s over/under of 43.5 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.7 fewer points per game (40.8) than this game’s total of 43.5 points.
  • One of the Falcons’ four games with a set total has hit the over (25%).
  • Two of the Buccaneers’ four games with a set total have hit the over (50%).

Want to bet on the over/under in this matchup? Make your wager at BetMGM.

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