Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11
Published 4:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024
The Denver Broncos will meet the Atlanta Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 4:05 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Broncos will earn a victory — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.
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The Broncos sport the 24th-ranked offense this season (303.7 yards per game), and they’ve been even better on defense, ranking fifth-best with just 295.7 yards allowed per game. The Falcons’ defense ranks 24th in the NFL with 352.7 total yards surrendered per contest, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by putting up 375.1 total yards per game.
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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks
ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
---|---|---|
Broncos (-2) | Under (44.5) | Broncos 24, Falcons 19 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
- Atlanta has covered five times in 10 chances against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have covered the spread once when an underdog by 2 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- In 2024, four Atlanta games have hit the over.
- The average total points scored in Falcons games (playoffs included) this year (44.5) is two points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Broncos Betting Info
- The Broncos have a 56.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Denver is 7-3-0 ATS this season.
- When playing as at least 2-point favorites this season, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-0.
- In Denver’s 10 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
- Broncos games this season have posted an average total of 39.8, which is 4.7 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights
Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Broncos | 19.7 | 17.7 | 21 | 17 | 18.8 | 18.2 |
Falcons | 23.8 | 23.6 | 21.7 | 24.8 | 27 | 21.8 |
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