The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (225.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat (14-14-0 ATS) have covered the spread 41.9% of the time, 8.1% more often than the Hawks (13-18-0) this year.
• As a 2.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Miami is 4-4 against the spread compared to the 3-10 ATS record Atlanta puts up as a 2.5-point favorite.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the point total 53.6% of the time this season (15 out of 28). That’s less often than Atlanta and its opponents have (20 out of 31).
• The Hawks have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (7-7) this season, higher than the .364 winning percentage for the Heat as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ defense ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with 119.5 points allowed per contest, but their offense has been more consistent, averaging 117.2 points per game (seventh-ranked in league).
• Atlanta is allowing 44 rebounds per game this year (16th-ranked in NBA), but it has thrived by grabbing 46 rebounds per game (fourth-best).
• With 29.7 dimes per game, the Hawks rank third-best in the league in the category.
• Atlanta has struggled in terms of turnovers this season, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 15.8 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranks fifth-best in the league with 15.9 forced turnovers per contest.
• The Hawks rank 19th in the NBA with 12.6 three-pointers per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 18th with a 35.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc.

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Heat Performance Insights

• With 111.3 points scored per game and 108.6 points allowed, the Heat are 18th in the league offensively and sixth on defense.
• On the boards, Miami is 19th in the NBA in rebounds (43.3 per game). It is 24th in rebounds allowed (45.2 per game).
• This season the Heat are ranked 14th in the NBA in assists at 25.6 per game.
• In terms of turnovers, Miami is fifth-best in the NBA in committing them (12.5 per game). It is 10th in forcing them (14.4 per game).
• Beyond the arc, the Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are sixth in 3-point percentage at 37.8%.

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